{"id":126,"date":"2007-11-16T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2007-11-16T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=126"},"modified":"2007-11-16T17:00:00","modified_gmt":"2007-11-16T21:00:00","slug":"week-eleven-picks-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=126","title":{"rendered":"Week Eleven Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here we go, then. The home stretch. Teams fighting for the playoffs. Teams struggling through injuries. Teams planning for next season. I know which ones are which, but I don&#8217;t know much else, which is to say, please don&#8217;t start taking my advice now. Here&#8217;s what not to expect in week eleven.<\/p>\n<p><b>Tampa Bay (-3) at Atlanta<\/b><br \/>Hey, the Falcons have resolved the burning question regarding their <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=3110586\">quarterback situation<\/a>. So that means the Falcons don&#8217;t totally suck anymore, right? Bucs by a field goal.<\/p>\n<p><b>Cleveland (-3) at Baltimore<\/b><br \/>I&#8217;ll start with the answer: The Ravens and their fans reportedly are <i>very excited<\/i> to have <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/espn\/wire?section=nfl&#038;id=3110844\">Kyle Boller back under center<\/a>. Now the question: Exactly how bad are things in Baltimore right now? Man, it&#8217;s too bad the Ravens didn&#8217;t draft a guy like <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/players\/derekanderson\/profile?id=AND180512\">Derek Anderson<\/a> when they had the chance. (What&#8217;s that? Oh. <i>Really?<\/i> Huh. That&#8217;s kinda sad.) OK, then, the new Browns wipe the floor with the old Browns, behind a guy who could have been taking snaps on the other side. (Man, that really has to hurt.) And, uh, yes, I&#8217;m giving the damned points.<\/p>\n<p><b>Arizona (+3) at Cincinnati<\/b><br \/>The Bengals need to start winning some games this week if <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bengals.com\/team\/coach.asp?coach_id=7\">Marvin Lewis<\/a> is gonna have any chance of remaining employed come early January. Sorry, Marv. Cards by a touchdown.<\/p>\n<p><b>Carolina (+10) at Green Bay<\/b><br \/>If a quarterback (any quarterback) starts for Carolina and no one&#8217;s there to <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=3112036\">catch passes<\/a>, is he really starting at all? You figure it out. I&#8217;m giving the points.<\/p>\n<p><b>New Orleans (pick &#8217;em) at Houston<\/b><br \/>After puzzling over this game for most of the week, I turned to my <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Magic_8-Ball\">Magic 8-Ball<\/a>. Here&#8217;s what it said, &#8220;Don&#8217;t ask me. Just bet the damned over and have done with it.&#8221; I&#8217;m taking that advice. And just for fun, I guess I&#8217;ll go with New Orleans to win.<\/p>\n<p><b>NY Giants (-2.5) at Detroit<\/b><br \/>The Lions had a nice little run to start the season. They come into this game 6-3, which is more than anyone other than <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=2914874\">Jon Kitna<\/a> thought was possible. The question now is can they make Kitna look like a true prophet? All they have to do is go 4-3 the rest of the way. So that should be easy. Except it <a href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitlions.com\/section_display.cfm?section_id=13&#038;top=21&#038;level=2\">really isn&#8217;t<\/a>. And they won&#8217;t. Giants by six.<\/p>\n<p><b>Kansas City (+14.5) at Indianapolis<\/b><br \/>Yeah, you can <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/columns\/story?columnist=chadiha_jeffri&#038;id=3111623\">assert the opposite<\/a> all you want, but those of us who are looking at the situation realistically are full aware that <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/espn\/wire?section=nfl&#038;id=3110123\">losing Dwight Freeney for the season<\/a> is going to create serious problems for the Colts. Eventually, that is. Not this week. This week Indy wins by two touchdowns (which, you may note, is half a point <i>less<\/i> than they&#8217;re giving).<\/p>\n<p><b>San Diego (+3) at Jacksonville<\/b><br \/>I spent the whole damned week trying to figure out which team has the edge in this game. And I&#8217;ve got almost nothing to show for it. These teams are even up and down the line. Except maybe here: the Jaguars have been fairly effective scoring through the air and Chargers&#8217; D has had a tendency to allow passing touchdowns. That ain&#8217;t much, but with nothing else to go on, I&#8217;m hitching my wagon to it. Jacksonville by four.<\/p>\n<p><b>Oakland (+5.5) at Minnesota<\/b><br \/><a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/espn\/wire?section=nfl&#038;id=3106743\">No AP?<\/a> No problem. Not this week, anyhow. Jerry Springer&#8217;s pal <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jerryspringertv.com\/posse\/kenny.htm\">Kenny<\/a> could manage 120 yards and three TDs against the Raiders. Minnesota by seven.<\/p>\n<p><b>Miami (+10.5) at Philadelphia<\/b><br \/>Welcome to the NFL, <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/espn\/wire?section=nfl&#038;id=3109867\">John<\/a>. Hey, um, if you should find yourself in need of a little something after the game (you  know, for the pain), you should probably talk to <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=3111806\">Ricky<\/a>. Even if they have to go <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=3114187\">without Brian Westbrook<\/a>, the Eagles should be able to win this one (though they only cover if Westbrook plays, so keep your money away from this game).<\/p>\n<p><b>Pittsburgh (-9) at NY Jets<\/b><br \/>Apparently, Laveranues Coles <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=3112722\">no longer has fog in his noggin<\/a>. That, no doubt, is a mixed blessing for Coles, who&#8217;s bound to notice at some point that he still plays for the Jets. Steelers by 14.<\/p>\n<p><b>Chicago (+5.5) at Seattle<\/b><br \/>Oh, hooray, <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/nfl\/news\/story?id=3110338\">Rex is back<\/a>. Let&#8217;s have a party or something. Or not. I&#8217;m taking the Seahawks and giving the points.<\/p>\n<p><b>St. Louis (-3) at San Francisco<\/b><br \/>Dah-dum, dah-dum, dah-dah-dah-dah-dum. Dah-dum, dah-dum, dah-dee-dum. Dah-dum, dah-dum, dah-dah-dah-dah-dum, <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/espn\/wire?section=nfl&#038;id=3112274\"><b>Dum<\/b><\/a>, dum, dah-dee-dum. This is a goddamned joke. Yeah, the Rams are actually favored. They&#8217;re actually the better team for once this season. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.draftinsiders.com\/node\/35\">Start doing your little dance, Pats fans.<\/a> Rams by seven.<\/p>\n<p><b>Washington (+11) at Dallas<\/b><br \/>A week after they <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/gamecenter?game_id=29335&#038;season=2007&#038;displayPage=tab_gamecenter&#038;week=REG10\">put the Giants away<\/a>, the Cowboys effectively wrap up the NFC East. After this, it&#8217;s all about the battle with Green Bay for home field through the playoffs. Cowboys by 10.<\/p>\n<p><b>New England (-15.5) at Buffalo<\/b><br \/>The Bills would have had a difficult enough time keeping up with the Patriots with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/players\/marshawnlynch\/profile?id=LYN442976\">Marshawn Lynch<\/a> in the lineup. <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.espn.go.com\/espn\/wire?section=nfl&#038;id=3110364\">Without him<\/a>, they&#8217;re as good as done. Pats by the standard 23.<\/p>\n<p><b>Tennessee (+2.5) at Denver<\/b><br \/>You don&#8217;t win games in the NFL by giving up 151 yards on the ground. Especially not when you face an opponent with a running game that doesn&#8217;t need a lot of help. Titans by a touchdown.<\/p>\n<div id=\"fb_share_1\" style=\"float: right; margin-left: 10px;;width: 55px;\" name=\"fb_share\"><div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div><script src=\"http:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/all.js#appId=125029517579627&amp;xfbml=1\"><\/script><fb:like href=\"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=126\" send=\"false\" layout=\"button_count\" width=\"55\" show_faces=\"false\" font=\"arial\"><\/fb:like><\/div><div class=\"tweetthis\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><p> <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Week+Eleven+Picks+http%3A%2F%2Fthisfootballblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D126\" title=\"Post to Twitter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nothumb\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/tweet-this\/icons\/en\/twitter\/tt-twitter.png\" alt=\"Post to Twitter\" \/><\/a> <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Week+Eleven+Picks+http%3A%2F%2Fthisfootballblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D126\" title=\"Post to Twitter\">Tweet This Post<\/a><\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here we go, then. The home stretch. Teams fighting for the playoffs. Teams struggling through injuries. Teams planning for next season. I know which ones are which, but I don&#8217;t know much else, which is to say, please don&#8217;t start taking my advice now. Here&#8217;s what not to expect in week eleven. Tampa Bay (-3) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=126"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}