{"id":307,"date":"2012-10-18T12:53:02","date_gmt":"2012-10-18T16:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=307"},"modified":"2012-10-18T12:56:20","modified_gmt":"2012-10-18T16:56:20","slug":"week-seven-picks-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=307","title":{"rendered":"Week Seven Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Just 13 games this weekend. That&#8217;s lucky 13 for me. Less to get wrong. Here&#8217;s what not to expect.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong title=\"Seattle Seahawks web site\"><a title=\"Seattle Seahawks web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.seahawks.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Seattle<\/a><\/strong> (+7) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"San Francisco 49ers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.49ers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">San Francisco<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Seahawks have a better defense than the team that <a title=\"New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks, October 14, 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/gamecenter\/2012101409\/2012\/REG6\/giants@49ers#menu=highlights&amp;tab=recap\" target=\"_blank\">held the 49ers to three points<\/a> in San Francisco on Sunday. But the 49ers have a much, much better defense than the one that <a title=\"New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks, October 14, 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/gamecenter\/2012101408\/2012\/REG6\/patriots@seahawks#menu=highlights&amp;tab=recap\" target=\"_blank\">allowed the Seahawks to come back<\/a> from a 13-point fourth quarter deficit in Seattle that same afternoon. The 49ers also have the better offense in this game by a huge margin. Add in the fact that Seattle is traveling on short rest following an emotional victory and I suspect you get a blowout. Niners by 17.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Tennessee Titans web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.titansonline.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Tennessee<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+3) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Buffalo Bills web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.buffalobills.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Buffalo<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nNeither defense can stop opponents from scoring. Neither offense can score. Should be interesting to see what gives. The Bills are bad, but the Titans are slightly worse, so I&#8217;ll take the home team straight up and look for a push with the points.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong title=\"Arizona Cardinals web site\"><a title=\"Arizona Cardinals web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.azcardinals.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Arizona<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+6) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Minnesota Vikings web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.vikings.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Minnesota<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nYou know why <a title=\"Kevin Kolb injured\" href=\"http:\/\/espn.go.com\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/8512300\/kevin-kolb-arizona-cardinals-qb-likely-weeks-rib-injury-source-says\" target=\"_blank\">Kevin Kolb is hurt<\/a>? No, it&#8217;s not just <a title=\"Kevin Kolb ribs hurt\" href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/sports\/redskins\/arizona-qb-out-unspecified-period-with-rib-cartilage-damage\/2012\/10\/16\/c977450e-17ca-11e2-a346-f24efc680b8d_story.html\" target=\"_blank\">one big hit<\/a>. It&#8217;s 27 sacks. More telling: 27 sacks in five starts. That&#8217;s 5.4 per game. And that&#8217;s brutal. Do you think <a title=\"John Skelton at NFL.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/player\/johnskelton\/497129\/profile\" target=\"_blank\">John Skelton<\/a>&#8216;s likely to have much success behind an O line that allows that kind of pressure? I don&#8217;t. The Cardinals D will keep the team in the game, but Minnesota comes out ahead, if only by a point or two.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Cleveland Browns web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.clevelandbrowns.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Cleveland<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+3) <strong>at <strong title=\"Indianapolis Colts web site\"><a title=\"Indianapolis Colts web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.colts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Indianapolis<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nIf either of these teams had any ability to run the ball, the other one would be in a world of trouble. But they don&#8217;t. And that&#8217;s all I&#8217;ve got. The Colts are at home, so I&#8217;m taking them, but I wouldn&#8217;t give more than a point.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Baltimore Ravens web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.baltimoreravens.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Baltimore<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+6.5) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Houston Texans web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.houstontexans.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Houston<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe only defense that you could find in Baltimore <a title=\"Ray Lewis Ladarius Webb on IR\" href=\"http:\/\/articles.baltimoresun.com\/2012-10-16\/sports\/bal-losing-lardarius-webb-hurts-more-than-losing-ray-lewis-20121016_1_lardarius-webb-ray-lewis-pro-football-focus\" target=\"_blank\">is hurt.<\/a> Got that? The whole defense got hurt. That&#8217;s some lousy timing right there. Texans by a touchdown.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Green Bay Packers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.packers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Green Bay<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(-5.5) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"St. Louis Rams web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.stlouisrams.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">St. Louis<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nYou know what happens when the Packers actually give their <a title=\"Aaron Rodgers at NFL.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/player\/aaronrodgers\/2506363\/profile\" target=\"_blank\">quarterback<\/a> some protection? <a title=\"Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans, October 14, 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/gamecenter\/2012101411\/2012\/REG6\/packers@texans#menu=highlights&amp;tab=recap\" target=\"_blank\">This<\/a>. It&#8217;ll be interesting to see if the Green Bay offensive line can keep it up, or if it goes back to giving up four-plus sacks a game. I expect to see continued improvement. But I also expect to see a team playing its second straight road game. I&#8217;ll take the Packers, but I wouldn&#8217;t give more than four.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Dallas Cowboys web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dallascowboys.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Dallas<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(-2) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Carolina Panthers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.panthers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Carolina<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nJerry Jones <a title=\"Jerry Jones thinks Cowboys can win title\" href=\"http:\/\/espn.go.com\/dallas\/nfl\/story\/_\/id\/8511328\/jerry-jones-dallas-cowboys-vie-title-2012\" target=\"_blank\">can think<\/a> whatever the hell he wants to think; the Cowboys aren&#8217;t winning a title. The way the Cowboys turn the ball over, it&#8217;ll take something of a miracle for them to win eight games. But they&#8217;ll win this one. Probably by a field goal (assuming it doesn&#8217;t <a title=\"Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens, October 14, 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/gamecenter\/2012101406\/2012\/REG6\/cowboys@ravens#menu=highlights&amp;tab=recap\" target=\"_blank\">go wide<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Washington Redskins web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.redskins.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Washington<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+6) <strong>at <strong><strong><a title=\"New York Giants web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.giants.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">NY Giants<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Giants lead the NFC East with a record of 4-2. And they just pulled off an incredibly <a title=\"New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers, October 14, 2012\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/gamecenter\/2012101409\/2012\/REG6\/giants@49ers#menu=highlights&amp;tab=recap\" target=\"_blank\">impressive win<\/a> in San Francisco. But they&#8217;re also 0-2 in the conference. They can&#8217;t afford to fall to 0-3. The Native Americans won&#8217;t make this game easy to win, but the Giants should still be able to pull it off. I expect to see a lot of scoring by both teams, what with the Native Americans&#8217; potent offense and impotent defense. But in the end Washington&#8217;s slipshod D will prove the difference as the Giants take it 31-27.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"New Orleans Saints web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.neworleanssaints.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">New Orleans<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(-3) <strong>at <strong title=\"Tampa Bay Buccanneers web site\"><a title=\"Tampa Bay Buccanneers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.buccaneers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Tampa Bay<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Saints are done in the NFC South. Their 1-4 start has left them, less than halfway through the season, with no chance of catching 6-0 Atlanta. And if they&#8217;re to have any hope of overcoming the ongoing distractions and clawing their way into position for a wild card berth, they&#8217;re going to have to start with a win here. I can&#8217;t come up with one piece of concrete evidence to suggest that New Orleans will be able to pull off a win here (OK, well, there&#8217;s <a title=\"Josh Freeman at NFL.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/player\/joshfreeman\/79557\/profile\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Freeman<\/a>, but that&#8217;s it). But, still, I have a feeling that they will. Saints by six.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"New York Jets web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.newyorkjets.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">NY Jets<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+10.5) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"New England Patriots web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.patriots.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">New England<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe New England secondary can make any NFL quarterback look like the second coming of <a title=\"Dan Marino at Pro Football Hall of Fame.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.profootballhof.com\/hof\/member.aspx?PlayerId=238\" target=\"_blank\">Dan Marino<\/a>. And it appears that&#8217;s going to be a problem all season. Luckily for the Patriots, the Jets don&#8217;t currently have an actual NFL quarterback on their roster. New England by 14.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Jacksonville Jaguars web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.jaguars.com\" target=\"_blank\">Jacksonville<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+4) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Oakland Raiders web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.raiders.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Oakland<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nOne of these teams pretty much has to not lose this game. And &#8230; uh &#8230; yeah, that&#8217;s it. The Raiders are at home, so I&#8217;ll take them to not lose. By three.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Pittsburgh Steelers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.steelers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Pittsburgh<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(-2.5) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Cincinnati Bengals web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bengals.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Cincinnati<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nIf the Bengals had any ability to hold onto the ball, I might be tempted to pick them in this game. (I wouldn&#8217;t feel that way if the game were in Pittsburgh, but in Cincy, just maybe.) But they don&#8217;t. So I&#8217;m taking the Steelers. By four.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong><a title=\"Detroit Lions web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitlions.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Detroit<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0<strong>(+6) <strong>at <strong><a title=\"Chicago Bears web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.chicagobears.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Chicago<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe way the Chicago defense has been playing, even <a title=\"Jay Cutler at NFL.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/player\/jaycutler\/2495824\/profile\" target=\"_blank\">Jay Cutler<\/a> hasn&#8217;t been able to find ways to manufacture losses. That will change eventually. But not this week. Bears by 10.<\/p>\n<div id=\"fb_share_1\" style=\"float: right; margin-left: 10px;;width: 55px;\" name=\"fb_share\"><div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div><script src=\"http:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/all.js#appId=125029517579627&amp;xfbml=1\"><\/script><fb:like href=\"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=307\" send=\"false\" layout=\"button_count\" width=\"55\" show_faces=\"false\" font=\"arial\"><\/fb:like><\/div><div class=\"tweetthis\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><p> <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Week+Seven+Picks+http%3A%2F%2Fthisfootballblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D307\" title=\"Post to Twitter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nothumb\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/tweet-this\/icons\/en\/twitter\/tt-twitter.png\" alt=\"Post to Twitter\" \/><\/a> <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Week+Seven+Picks+http%3A%2F%2Fthisfootballblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D307\" title=\"Post to Twitter\">Tweet This Post<\/a><\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just 13 games this weekend. That&#8217;s lucky 13 for me. Less to get wrong. Here&#8217;s what not to expect. Seattle (+7) at San Francisco The Seahawks have a better defense than the team that held the 49ers to three points in San Francisco on Sunday. But the 49ers have a much, much better defense than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/307","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=307"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/307\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=307"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=307"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=307"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}