{"id":601,"date":"2017-11-16T20:05:23","date_gmt":"2017-11-17T00:05:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=601"},"modified":"2017-11-18T19:31:39","modified_gmt":"2017-11-18T23:31:39","slug":"week-eleven-thursday-night-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=601","title":{"rendered":"Week Eleven Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I don&#8217;t have the time or energy to write another intro, so I&#8217;m just tacking the rest of my picks on to the one that I posted Thursday, and got half right.<\/p>\n<p>Last week. I went 12-2 straight up (not awful), 6-7-1 against the spread (awful). For the season, that gets me to 96-50 (.658) straight up and 71-69-6 (.507) with the points.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what not to expect in week 11.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Tennessee Titans web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.titansonline.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tennessee<\/a> (+7) at <a title=\"Pittsburgh Steelers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.steelers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pittsburgh<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Titans are good enough to beat the Steelers. In Nashville. In Pittsburgh, I&#8217;m not so sure. In Pittsburgh on a Thursday night? I just can&#8217;t see it. I don&#8217;t see either of these teams having much success moving the ball on the ground in this game. I think that&#8217;s a bigger problem for Tennessee than it is for Pittsburgh. And I think unless the Titans D can set their offense up with a couple of big takeaways (which isn&#8217;t completely outside the realm of possibility), Tennessee&#8217;s destined to come up just short. Steelers by four.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Detroit Lions web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.detroitlions.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Detroit<\/a> (-3) at <a title=\"Chicago Bears web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.chicagobears.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chicago<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>Seems like the Lions ought to be just good enough to come out ahead in this game. But when I say just, I mean maybe just <em>just<\/em>. Detroit wins, but by just a point.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong title=\"Kansas City Chiefs web site\"><a title=\"Kansas City Chiefs web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.kcchiefs.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kansas City<\/a><\/strong> (-10.5) at <a title=\"New York Giants web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.giants.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NY Giants<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>There&#8217;s a very good chance the Chiefs won&#8217;t lose another game until January, which is when they&#8217;ll next play a good team. There&#8217;s virtually a 100 percent chance the Chiefs won&#8217;t lose until week 12, which is when they&#8217;ll next play something resembling an NFL team. Kansas City by 17.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong title=\"Tampa Bay Buccanneers web site\"><a title=\"Tampa Bay Buccanneers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.buccaneers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tampa Bay<\/a><\/strong> (+1) at <a title=\"Miami Dolphins web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.miamidolphins.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Miami<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>The hurricane delay game gets played just in time for absolutely no one to care. Tampa by two.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Baltimore Ravens web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.baltimoreravens.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Baltimore<\/a> (-2) at <a title=\"Green Bay Packers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.packers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Green Bay<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>One of these teams is probably going to win this game. I think maybe it&#8217;ll be the one that sometimes has a defense. Ravens by a point.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"St. Louis Rams web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.therams.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LA Rams<\/a> (+2.5) at <a title=\"Minnesota Vikings web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.vikings.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Minnesota<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>The winner of this game retains a shot at the NFC two seed, while the loser takes a step toward the four. If I were smart, I&#8217;d probably pick the home team. But I&#8217;m not smart, so I&#8217;m going with the better team. Rams by a field goal.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong title=\"Arizona Cardinals web site\"><a title=\"Arizona Cardinals web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.azcardinals.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Arizona<\/a><\/strong> (+1) at <strong title=\"Houston Texans web site\"><a title=\"Houston Texans web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.houstontexans.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Houston<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>Ugh. I&#8217;m taking way too many road teams. But <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/player\/tomsavage\/2543640\/profile\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tom Savage<\/a> is just so completely awful. Cardinals by a point.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Jacksonville Jaguars web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.jaguars.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jacksonville<\/a> (-7.5) at <a title=\"Cleveland Browns web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.clevelandbrowns.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cleveland<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>Someone please stop me from picking all the road teams. Please, please, please. No, I didn&#8217;t mean you, Browns. You&#8217;re bloody impossible. Jaguars by 13.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Washington Redskins web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.redskins.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Washington<\/a> (+7.5) at <a title=\"New Orleans Saints web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.neworleanssaints.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New Orleans<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>Thank you, Saints, for being both the better team and the home team. I needed one of these. New Orleans by 10.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Buffalo Bills web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.buffalobills.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Buffalo<\/a> (+4) at <strong title=\"San Diego Chargers web site\"><a title=\"San Diego Chargers web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.chargers.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">LA Chargers<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>Well, it appears the Chargers will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/nfl\/news\/philip-rivers-cleared-to-play-against-bills-likely-will-keep-iron-man-streak-alive\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">have their starting quarterback on the field<\/a>. And that they&#8217;ll be trying. Los Angeles by six.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Cincinnati Bengals web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.bengals.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cincinnati<\/a> (+2.5) at <strong title=\"Denver Broncos web site\"><a title=\"Denver Broncos web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.denverbroncos.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Denver<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/strong>I really have no idea which of these two teams is worse. So I&#8217;m taking the home team to earn the honor of picking later in the 2018 draft. Broncos by two.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"New England Patriots web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.patriots.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New England<\/a> (-7) vs.\u00c2\u00a0<a title=\"Oakland Raiders web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.raiders.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Oakland<\/a> at <span class=\"st\">Estadio Azteca, Mexico City<\/span><br \/>\n<\/strong>The worst pass defense in the NFL vs. the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nfl.com\/player\/tombrady\/2504211\/profile\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">greatest quarterback of all time<\/a>. There&#8217;s a lot more one could say about this game. But none of it favors Oakland. So I&#8217;m just not sure there&#8217;s anything more one <em>needs<\/em> to say. New England by two touchdowns.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a title=\"Philadelphia Eagles web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.philadelphiaeagles.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Philadelphia<\/a> (-4) at <a title=\"Dallas Cowboys web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.dallascowboys.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Dallas<\/a><br \/>\n<\/strong>This should pretty much do it for the NFC East. Eagles by a touchdown.<\/p>\n<p><strong><strong title=\"Atlanta Falcons web site\"><a title=\"Atlanta Falcons web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.atlantafalcons.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Atlanta<\/a><\/strong>\u00c2\u00a0(+3) at<\/strong> <strong> <strong title=\"Seattle Seahawks web site\"><a title=\"Seattle Seahawks web site\" href=\"http:\/\/www.seahawks.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Seattle<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><br \/>\nThe Seahawks aren&#8217;t better than the Falcons by much. But they&#8217;re better just the same. Seattle by three.<\/p>\n<div id=\"fb_share_1\" style=\"float: right; margin-left: 10px;;width: 55px;\" name=\"fb_share\"><div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div><script src=\"http:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/all.js#appId=125029517579627&amp;xfbml=1\"><\/script><fb:like href=\"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/?p=601\" send=\"false\" layout=\"button_count\" width=\"55\" show_faces=\"false\" font=\"arial\"><\/fb:like><\/div><div class=\"tweetthis\" style=\"text-align:left;\"><p> <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Week+Eleven+Picks+http%3A%2F%2Fthisfootballblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D601\" title=\"Post to Twitter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"nothumb\" src=\"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/tweet-this\/icons\/en\/twitter\/tt-twitter.png\" alt=\"Post to Twitter\" \/><\/a> <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"tt\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?text=Week+Eleven+Picks+http%3A%2F%2Fthisfootballblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D601\" title=\"Post to Twitter\">Tweet This Post<\/a><\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I don&#8217;t have the time or energy to write another intro, so I&#8217;m just tacking the rest of my picks on to the one that I posted Thursday, and got half right. Last week. I went 12-2 straight up (not awful), 6-7-1 against the spread (awful). For the season, that gets me to 96-50 (.658) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=601"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/601\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=601"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=601"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.thisfootballblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=601"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}