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NFL 2022 Week Ten Picks

November 13th, 2022

So, yeah, I totally forgot about Thursday night’s game until it was half over. Oh, well. I always get the Thursday night games wrong anyhow. And there is no doubt in my mind that I’d have taken the Falcons to win and cover. Not so hard to take the loss knowing you’d have earned the loss if you’d remembered to try.

Seattle (+2.5) vs Tampa Bay at Allianz Stadium, Munich
The Buccaneers are probably gonna have to play some offense before the final two minutes if they hope to pull out a win against the stubbornly underrated Seahawks. Let’s assume that happens. Tampa by a point.

Minnesota (+6.5) at Buffalo
I don’t know what kind of shape Josh Allen’s arm is actually in. Do you? Bills by three.

Detroit (+2.5) at Chicago
The Bears at least appear to be somewhat less bad than the Lions. Home team by three.

Denver (+2.5) at Tennessee
YepThere’s nothing about this matchup that suggests a truly competitive game. Well, maybe the Titans defense. But for that to matter, the Broncos would need to have an offense. Tennessee by six.

Jacksonville (+9.5) at Kansas City
The thing to keep in mind about the 3-6 Jaguars is that they’ve kind of overachieved. Kansas City by 14.

Cleveland (+3.5) at Miami
I’m not sure there’s as much separating these teams as their respective win-loss records suggest. Still, Miami’s a tough place to play. Dolphins by a field goal.

Houston (+4.5) at NY Giants
The Giants are better than they get credit for being. The Texans, at best, are exactly as bad as everyone thinks. New Jersey by 10.

New Orleans (pick ’em) at Pittsburgh
This is one of those games where you end up trying to figure out which team won’t lose. I’m going Saints. And let’s figure their margin of non-defeat will be three.

Indianapolis (+4) at Las Vegas
You can always count on the 2022 Raiders to play terribly. But there’s no degree of terribleness that should expose any team to a home loss against the Colts. Right? Raiders by seven.

Dallas (-4) at Green Bay
Aaron Rodgers appears to have found that cliff everyone’s been expecting Tom Brady to fall off for about a decade now. Rodgers surely will play a few good games down the stretch. But it seems unlikely this will be one of them. Cowboys by six.

Arizona (+2) at LA Rams
I don’t know which of these teams is the weakest. But I know which weak team is at home. Rams by a point.

LA Chargers (+7.5) at San Francisco
The Niners are at home. The Niners have a defense. I’m taking the Niners. By six.

Washington (+11) at Philadelphia
And the Eagles remain undefeated. Philadelphia by nine.

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